I’ve been watching LOST a lot over the past few months, starting with episode 1 and working my way up to the current episodes. Throughout the fifth season, I have started to get more of an understanding of what might eventually happen. Here’s what I think.
Earlier in the series, we learned that the Dharma Initiative would be all wiped out in a mass genocide led by Benjamin Linus. We got a brief look at all the bodies around the Dharma camp followed by Ben and others removing their gas masks.
Now that the show has progressed more, I’m beginning to think the deaths of the Dharma members was less tragic and more justified. I’d even go as far to say that the “hostiles” are actually the good guys.
In this week’s episode, we got a peek of how the main characters are adjusting to living in 1977 inside the Dharma compound. While Kate, Sawyer, Jack, Hurley, and Jin have all become members of Dharma, Sayid missed his chance and was instead captured for fear of being a hostile. The survivors of 815 were faced with a problem; they were all safe in their positions and would remain that way under one condition: Sayid must not tell his Dharma captors who he and the other survivors really are.
Unfortunately, as the episode progressed, we saw that Sayid was forced to eat a sugar cube that had a truth serum in it. He proceeded to tell the members of Dharma exactly who he and everyone else really were, but its level of unbelievability instead convinced them that they had given him too high of a dose and that he was going crazy.
Earlier in the show, we see a flashback to Sayid working on a construction site. Ben has tracked him down and wants Sayid to once again kill someone who is allegedly endangering his friends; a man sitting in a car monitoring Hurley at the mental hospital. We know from a past episode that Sayid does indeed kill this man, but in the current scene, he refuses to do it. Ben tells him that he was “born to kill”, that killing is his purpose. Sayid denies this adamantly and Ben simply apologizes and walks off.
Now, this moment was key. As we find out shortly after this scene, Sayid (after going back to the Island in 1977) escapes his captors and runs into Jin in the woods, who calls him by his name. Sayid immediately headbutts Jin and knocks him out to keep him from talking, but turns around and realizes that Young Ben has witnessed everything. He now knows that Jin and Sayid have a history, and that people in Dharma may indeed be associated with who they think is a hostile.
This is where Ben’s earlier words are important; when he told Sayid he was meant to kill. Sayid says “You were right… I am a killer.” and shoots Young Ben in the chest just before the episode ends.
Now, some people may think that history was just changed by killing Young Ben, but he clearly will not die. When Ben called Sayid a killer, it was for a reason. He told him that because he remembers Sayid shooting him when he was a little boy. He also remember Sayid saying “You were right, I am a killer”. Since Ben now knew that the survivors of 815 would end up going back in time to the 70’s at this point, he knew that he had to say that to Sayid to ensure that he would still be shot in 1977 as the flow of time intended. Every action that Ben orchestrates is done with the intention of making sure that everything in the flow of time happens exactly as it should. If he didn’t maintain his aura of obscurity and lack of trust, he would possibly end up influencing other people in the wrong way, causing them to take courses of action that were not meant to occur.
Ben is a good guy. He is saving the universe and the space-time continuum.
So now, almost 700 words later, I get to my theory about the purge. The other information was necessary to set this into motion.
We saw on an earlier episode that Young Ben wanted to leave Dharma and join the “hostiles” instead, possibly influenced by his abusive father. Here, he met Richard Alpert, the leader of the “hostiles” in the 1970’s who does not ever age under any circumstance in the show. I believe that Alpert has traveled back in time and will not age until he once again reaches the point he went back in time, but that is irrelevant right now. We know that Ben will later replace Richard as the leader of the “Hostiles”/”Others”, and apparently Richard does too. When Ben asks to join the “Hostiles”, Richard tells him he has to “be very patient”.
Combining this clip with others such as Ben killing his father in the VW Bus and the short clip of the aftermath of the purge, it becomes clear that Ben secretly divulges information and works as a mole in the Dharma camp under the watchful eye of Richard Alpert. This happens for a very long time, from the mid 1970’s until present day.
I believe that Sayid shooting Young Ben will eventually lead to the Purge. My guess is that in next week’s episode, Richard Alpert will find Young Ben in the woods and take him back to his camp to treat his gunshot wounds. This will be the beginning of Ben’s work as an inside man for the “hostiles”.
So, about that Purge. Why exactly would Ben and the “hostiles” orchestrate a mass genocide of everyone on the Dharma camp? After all, there was a truce between the two groups. In context, it appears that Ben is power-hungry and wants to overthrow the Dharma Initiative once and for all, but I would be willing to bet that there is much, much more to the situation than that. What if the Dharma Initiative’s outward appearance of a peaceful organization trying to preserve human life was just a cover for something bigger? Or at least became something bigger over the years? We know that the Initiative eventually discovered the key to time travel (we saw Dr. Chang talk about it in an earlier episode), so with that kind of power in their hands, there is no telling where their motives strayed.
The biggest clue about the Purge lies in the Tempest, a station built to produce deadly neurotoxins. Why would the Dharma Initiative, such a peaceful organization, build a station that does nothing but make deadly poison?
My guess is genocide. They wanted to completely wipe out the “hostiles”, who were on the Island long before Dharma arrived. Perhaps they felt that the truce had been broken. Perhaps their lust for power and domination got the best of them and they decided they no longer wanted to live alongside the “hostiles”? Or maybe it is bigger than that, perhaps they weren’t immediately planning on using the gas on the hostiles, but only had it stored just in case of an emergency.
Regardless, my guess is that the gas at the Tempest station was eventually going to be used to wipe out the “hostiles”. Unfortunately for the Dharma Initiative, they were unaware that Young Ben was fraternizing with the enemy. He knew about the gas and its production, and tipped off Richard Alpert about it and Dharma’s plans for it.
This is what causes the Purge. Ben and a team of others orchestrate a covert operation and wipe out the Dharma Inititiative with their own gas. Why? We still don’t know. It could be to kill the Dharma members before they killed the “hostiles”, but it could also be something a little bit more complex. Maybe Richard is indeed a time traveler and knows that something Dharma is working on could eventually have devastating effects on the world and aims to stop it.
We’ll never know for sure until it airs, but I’ve got my money on the Tempest station being used against Dharma.